Blog

A macro-regime strategy that reads growth from the trend and inflation from the bond market, then concentrates into the asset built for that environment. Three variants, one of them unleveraged.

A shuffle test of Triad and Global Navigator: each strategy re-run on randomly reordered months from 1980 to 2026, to see whether the results were skill or luck.

Thinking about Portfolios and Leverage

High volatility lately.

Variantions from the strategies.

Why the S&P 500 is a tough benchmark to judge by after 2009, how it did from 2000 to 2009, and how momentum strategies and Smart Leverage gain ground in drawdowns.

If buy and hold the S&P has been this good since 2009, why go to the trouble of running a strategy? Because 2009 to today is not what markets usually look like.

Let's compare GPMv to GPM after two years of results.

Let's dig into the returns and metrics of the strategies that make up some Model Portfolios

DMS-4ETF, why did I keep it so long?

A new better, variant of GPM, GPMv

Harry Browne, his Permanent Portfolio, and

Risk Off, how often have the strategies been Risk Off as long as this current time period?

Bear Market Correlations

Swapping out an ETF, housekeeping.

Should an investor use leverage, what should be considered - and how much?

This was a Zoom presentation going over updates and new strategies for Dual Momentum Systems from March 3, 2022, enjoy.

A strategy for psychopathic investors...

A strategy for psychopathic investors...

A strategy for psychopathic investors...

Triad, how does it compared against fixed allocation strategies like 60/40 and Golden Butterfly?

Triad and The Russell OG vs Golden Butterfly, 60/40 and the Permanent Portfolio, 1992 to 2022: is monthly trading worth the extra effort?