U-Quiet Compounding Portfolio Overview

Results over the full published history, 2003 to September 2026. Net of trading friction.
CAGR15.5%
Maximum drawdown-6.7%
MAR ratio2.31
History23 years (281 months)

U-Quiet Compounding is the UCITS version of Quiet Compounding, developed by Randy Harris of Dual Momentum Systems for investors outside the United States who buy UCITS funds rather than US-listed ETFs.

It is built exactly like Quiet Compounding: four strategies at equal weight, each reading a different signal, with the four blocks reset to equal weight every January and left to drift in between. The only difference is that each block is the UCITS version of its strategy.

The Four Strategies

BlockWeightReadsUCITS change from the US version
U-Carrier25%High yield credit spreadNo long/short equity fund; more managed futures
U-Catalyst25%Growth and breakeven inflationIntermediate Treasuries in place of the tail-risk fund
U-GPMv25%Breadth and correlation across eleven risk assetsNone to the rules; Pacific held as a fund pair
U-Triad25%Relative momentum in three sleevesNo long/short equity fund; mid cap for mid-cap value

Each strategy's page lists its UCITS funds, with tickers and ISINs. Because the blocks overlap, a fund can appear in more than one of them; the portfolio's holding in a fund is the sum across blocks. Gold, held by U-Catalyst, U-GPMv and U-Triad, is held through a physical gold ETC.

Performance Highlights

May 2003 through September 2026, net of trading friction:

CAGRMax DrawdownUlcer IndexUPI
U-Quiet Compounding+15.5%-6.7%2.066.73
Quiet Compounding+16.2%-7.2%2.126.89
S&P 500+11.3%-51.0%11.720.82

The Ulcer Index measures how deep and how long drawdowns were, not just the single worst one: lower is better. UPI (Ulcer Performance Index) is return above T-bills per unit of Ulcer Index: higher is better.

U-Quiet Compounding gives up about 0.7% a year to Quiet Compounding, spread across U-Carrier, U-Catalyst and U-Triad, with a slightly shallower worst drawdown and a slightly lower Ulcer Index. Diversifying across four signals absorbs most of what the individual UCITS changes cost. The history begins in 2003 because that is when U-Catalyst's breakeven inflation series starts.

Notes for Investors Outside the US

  • Results are in US dollars. The strategy is calculated on the history of the equivalent US funds, in US dollars. If you measure your portfolio in pounds, euros or another currency, your results will also move with the exchange rate.
  • Why UCITS funds. Irish-domiciled UCITS funds are the standard way for non-US investors to hold US markets. They often receive US dividends at a lower withholding rate than a non-US investor holding US-listed ETFs directly would, and they are not US assets for US estate tax purposes. Rules vary by country, so check with a tax adviser where you live.
  • Gold is held as an ETC. UCITS rules do not allow a fund that holds only gold, so gold is held through the iShares Physical Gold ETC, a security backed by physical gold. It is not a UCITS fund, but it is UCITS eligible and widely available to investors in the UK, Europe and elsewhere.
  • Listings. The tickers above are the London Stock Exchange USD lines unless noted. Most of the funds also trade in London in pounds and on European exchanges in euros, under the same ISIN, which is the surest way to find the right fund at any broker.

Who It's For

U-Quiet Compounding is for investors outside the US who want strong long-run returns without the volatility of a market portfolio, from a single blended portfolio built only from UCITS funds and a physical gold ETC. It makes a natural anchor for a barbell approach.


Past performance, including backtested results, is not indicative of future results. Backtested performance is hypothetical, does not reflect actual trading, and benefits from hindsight in the selection of strategy rules. U-Quiet Compounding is calculated on the history of the equivalent US-listed funds; the UCITS funds track the same or closely matching indexes but their returns will differ, including from fees, tax treatment and currency. Portions of the long-term history rely on reconstructed proxy data for funds that did not exist for the full period across its four strategies. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and consult with a financial advisor.

For the latest details, visit www.DualMomentumSystems.com

Performance in detail

Growth of $10,000 (log scale)

Drawdown from previous high

Calendar-year returns

Selected range May 2003 to Sep 2026

PortfolioCAGRMax DDUlcerUPISortinoMAR
U-Quiet Compounding15.5%-6.7%2.066.733.412.31
Quiet Compounding16.2%-7.2%2.126.893.462.24
S&P 50011.3%-51.0%11.720.821.260.22
60/408.1%-32.3%6.481.001.390.25

What the record shows

From May 2003 through Sep 2026, U-Quiet Compounding compounded at 15.5% a year after trading costs. $10,000 invested at the start grew to about $290,334.

That is 0.7 points a year less than Quiet Compounding, its default benchmark, over the same months, and it out-returned Quiet Compounding in 1 of the 3 decades in the record.

Its deepest decline was 6.7%, from a peak in Sep 2018 to a low in Oct 2018, and it was back to its old high by Apr 2019.

Return is only half the picture. The Ulcer Performance Index measures return against the depth and length of drawdowns, and on it U-Quiet Compounding scores 6.73, behind Quiet Compounding at 6.89.

In the 91 months the S&P 500 fell, U-Quiet Compounding still made money in 33% of them.

Return by decade

Annual return2000s*2010s2020s*
U-Quiet Compounding+19.0%+11.9%+17.5%
Quiet Compounding+18.5%+12.5%+19.5%
S&P 500+5.0%+12.9%+15.3%
60/40+5.1%+9.4%+9.4%

* Partial decade, annualized over the months available.

Through the hard stretches

Total return over each period, start of the first month to the end of the last.

PeriodU-QCQCS&P 50060/40
Global financial crisisNov 2007 to Feb 2009+7.1%+4.4%-51.0%-32.3%
COVID crashFeb 2020 to Mar 2020-2.7%+3.3%-19.6%-11.9%
2022 rate shockJan 2022 to Dec 2022+1.9%+1.7%-18.2%-15.9%

How it behaves month to month

Since May 2003Worst 12 monthsPositive monthsPositive when S&P 500 fellCorrelation to S&P 500
U-Quiet Compounding-3.4%71%33%0.54
Quiet Compounding-2.6%72%34%0.53
60/40-27.5%68%8%0.98

Every figure is net of trading costs and computed from the same monthly data as the rest of the site, over the months all the portfolios shown have in common (May 2003 to Sep 2026). Returns before an ETF's launch come from a matching index, as explained in where the data comes from. Backtests are hypothetical and are not a promise of future results.