U-Triad 135 Strategy Overview

Results over the full published history, 1980 to September 2026. Net of trading friction.
CAGR15.3%
Maximum drawdown-15.1%
MAR ratio1.01
History46 years (561 months)

U-Triad 135 is U-Triad, the UCITS version of Triad, with Smart Leverage added in the same way as Triad 135. During the recovery phase of a U.S. equity drawdown, and only then, the U.S. large cap sleeve is held through a 2x S&P 500 UCITS fund. Everything else is U-Triad's.

U-Triad's sleeves and its UCITS funds are on the U-Triad page. How Smart Leverage arms, deploys and exits is on the Triad 135 page; U-Triad 135 uses the same module with the same settings.

What the 135 means

Only the 35% U.S. large cap sleeve is ever leveraged, so maximum notional exposure is 30 + (35 x 2) + 35 = 135%. Leverage applies only when that sleeve already wants to hold U.S. large cap; when its trend test fails, the sleeve goes to Treasuries and there is nothing to leverage.

The UCITS Funds

RoleFundTicker (London, USD)GBP lineISIN
GoldiShares Physical Gold ETCIGLNSGLNIE00B4ND3602
CommoditiesInvesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF (Acc)CMODCMOPIE00BD6FTQ80
U.S. large cap (S&P 500)iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF (Acc)CSPXCSP1IE00B5BMR087
International equitiesVanguard FTSE All-World ex-US UCITS ETF (Acc)VXUAVXUSIE0009A5ADV9
U.S. mid capVanguard Russell US Mid-Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)VRMAVRMGIE000650M1V4
Managed futuresiMGP DBi Managed Futures Fund R USD UCITS ETFDBMFDBMGLU2951555585
Intermediate TreasuriesiShares $ Treasury Bond 7-10yr UCITS ETF (Acc)CBU0noneIE00B3VWN518
Long TreasuriesiShares $ Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF (Acc)DTLAnoneIE00BFM6TC58
2x S&P 500 (Smart Leverage)Xtrackers S&P 500 2x Leveraged Daily Swap UCITS ETFXS2DnoneLU0411078552

Performance Highlights

January 1980 through September 2026, net of trading friction:

CAGRMax DrawdownUlcer IndexUPI
U-Triad 135+15.3%-15.1%3.353.30
U-Triad+14.2%-15.1%2.863.48
Triad 135+16.6%-16.9%3.253.81
S&P 500+12.0%-51.0%12.720.61

The Ulcer Index measures how deep and how long drawdowns were, not just the single worst one: lower is better. UPI (Ulcer Performance Index) is return above T-bills per unit of Ulcer Index: higher is better.

Leverage was deployed in the same 148 of 561 months as Triad 135. U-Triad 135 trails Triad 135 for the same reason U-Triad trails Triad: the long/short equity fund in the third sleeve has no UCITS equivalent. Its worst drawdown is shallower than Triad 135's.

Notes for Investors Outside the US

  • Results are in US dollars. The strategy is calculated on the history of the equivalent US funds, in US dollars. If you measure your portfolio in pounds, euros or another currency, your results will also move with the exchange rate.
  • Why UCITS funds. Irish-domiciled UCITS funds are the standard way for non-US investors to hold US markets. They often receive US dividends at a lower withholding rate than a non-US investor holding US-listed ETFs directly would, and they are not US assets for US estate tax purposes. Rules vary by country, so check with a tax adviser where you live.
  • Gold is held as an ETC. UCITS rules do not allow a fund that holds only gold, so gold is held through the iShares Physical Gold ETC, a security backed by physical gold. It is not a UCITS fund, but it is UCITS eligible and widely available to investors in the UK, Europe and elsewhere.
  • Leveraged funds reset daily. The 2x UCITS funds target twice the daily return of their index. Over longer periods their returns can differ from twice the index return, especially in volatile markets, which is why Smart Leverage holds them only in defined recovery phases.
  • Listings. The tickers above are the London Stock Exchange USD lines unless noted. Most of the funds also trade in London in pounds and on European exchanges in euros, under the same ISIN, which is the surest way to find the right fund at any broker.

Who It's For

U-Triad 135 is for investors outside the US who want U-Triad's diversified approach with a measured, rules-based dose of leverage in the U.S. large cap sleeve during recoveries.


Past performance, including backtested results, is not indicative of future results. Backtested performance is hypothetical, does not reflect actual trading, and benefits from hindsight in the selection of strategy rules. U-Triad 135 is calculated on the history of the equivalent US-listed funds; the UCITS funds track the same or closely matching indexes but their returns will differ, including from fees, tax treatment and currency. Portions of the long-term history rely on reconstructed proxy data for funds that did not exist for the full period, including DBMF and the international, mid cap, Treasury and leveraged funds. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and consult with a financial advisor.

For the latest details, visit www.DualMomentumSystems.com

Performance in detail

Growth of $10,000 (log scale)

Drawdown from previous high

Calendar-year returns

Selected range Jan 1980 to Sep 2026

PortfolioCAGRMax DDUlcerUPISortinoMAR
U-Triad 13515.3%-15.1%3.353.302.501.01
Triad 13516.6%-16.9%3.253.812.790.98
S&P 50012.0%-51.0%12.720.611.300.24
60/4010.0%-32.3%6.120.951.720.31

What the record shows

From Jan 1980 through Sep 2026, U-Triad 135 compounded at 15.3% a year after trading costs. $10,000 invested at the start grew to about $7,666,216.

That is 1.3 points a year less than Triad 135, its default benchmark, over the same months, and it out-returned Triad 135 in 1 of the 5 decades in the record.

Its deepest decline was 15.1%, from a peak in Jan 1980 to a low in Mar 1980, and it was back to its old high by Jun 1980.

Return is only half the picture. The Ulcer Performance Index measures return against the depth and length of drawdowns, and on it U-Triad 135 scores 3.30, behind Triad 135 at 3.81.

In the 195 months the S&P 500 fell, U-Triad 135 still made money in 36% of them.

Since 2000

The modern half of the record, with the dot-com bust, 2008, the long zero-rate decade and the 2022 rate shock all inside it.

Jan 2000 to Sep 2026CAGRMax DDUlcerUPISortinoMAR
U-Triad 13514.7%-11.5%3.413.772.481.29
Triad 13516.3%-10.8%2.795.172.941.51
S&P 5008.1%-51.0%15.890.390.880.16
60/406.6%-32.3%7.620.621.110.20

Return by decade

Annual return1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s*
U-Triad 135+20.6%+11.6%+14.8%+11.1%+20.2%
Triad 135+19.3%+14.7%+16.2%+12.0%+23.0%
S&P 500+17.0%+18.1%-1.0%+12.9%+15.3%
60/40+15.5%+14.0%+2.1%+9.4%+9.4%

* Partial decade, annualized over the months available.

Through the hard stretches

Total return over each period, start of the first month to the end of the last.

PeriodU-Triad135Triad135S&P 50060/40
1987 crashSep 1987 to Nov 1987-5.6%-6.2%-29.8%-17.7%
Dot-com bear marketSep 2000 to Sep 2002+0.3%+13.2%-44.8%-23.5%
Global financial crisisNov 2007 to Feb 2009+7.7%+7.9%-51.0%-32.3%
COVID crashFeb 2020 to Mar 2020-0.7%0.0%-19.6%-11.9%
2022 rate shockJan 2022 to Dec 2022-1.6%-0.7%-18.2%-15.9%

How it behaves month to month

Since Jan 1980Worst 12 monthsPositive monthsPositive when S&P 500 fellCorrelation to S&P 500
U-Triad 135-6.2%68%36%0.52
Triad 135-10.1%68%37%0.53
60/40-27.5%67%10%0.98

Every figure is net of trading costs and computed from the same monthly data as the rest of the site, over the months all the portfolios shown have in common (Jan 1980 to Sep 2026). Returns before an ETF's launch come from a matching index, as explained in where the data comes from. Backtests are hypothetical and are not a promise of future results.